Michigan Fantasy Racing Preview

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Kyle Larson has won the last two races at Michigan and Martin Truex Jr., who leads the series in wins this season, led 62 laps in June. (Photo: Getty Images)

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Driver Averages | Laps Led LeadersDriver Ratings| Loop DataPast Winners| Past Pole Winners | Tire Notes

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday’s Pure Michigan 400 at Michigan International Speedway.

Who’s HOT at Michigan
• Kyle Larson has won the last two races and posted a 1.7 average finish in his last three starts.
• Chase Elliott has finished second in his three starts.
• Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in each of the last nine races, including two wins.
• Kevin Harvick has posted seven top fives in the last nine races.
• Matt Kenseth has one win, 154 laps led and a 9.8 average finish in his last four starts.
• Brad Keselowski has finished ninth or better in his last six of the last seven races.

Keep an Eye On at Michigan 
• Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. have each led over 350 laps in the last five races of the season and both finished in the top 10 in June at Michigan after leading 40 and 62 laps, respectively.
• Clint Bowyer has finished seventh or better in three of the last four races this season.
• Jamie McMurray has posted three straight finishes of ninth or better at Michigan.
• Paul Menard (12.3), Ryan Newman (13.5) and Kasey Kahne (16.4) are each ranked in the top 10 in average finish among drivers that have raced in all 11 races since Michigan was repaved.
• Daniel Suarez has finished in the top 10 in the last four races this season. Fellow rookie Erik Jones has finished in the top 10 in the last two races.
• Ryan Blaney, Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson each have finished in the top 10 in two of the last three races at 2-mile speedways (Michigan and Auto Club).
• Dale Earnhardt Jr., who posted one of his four top 10s of the year in June at Michigan, had finished in the top 10 in five of his last six starts at the 2-mile track.
• Kurt Busch, who won the rain-shortened 2015 June race, has posted an 11.3 average finish in the last three races at Michigan – ranks eighth in the span.


*Best Average Finish at Michigan

* – The best average finish is based off a driver entered in the race who has competed in every race during that time span.

*Lap Leaders at Michigan

* – Must be entered in this weekend’s race.

Michigan Loop Data Stat Leaders (2005-2017, 25 Races)*

1. Erik Jones

1. Daniel Suarez

1. Chase Elliott – 5.1

2. Daniel Suarez

2. Erik Jones

2. Matt Kenseth – 11.1

3. Chase Elliott

3. Chase Elliott

3. Kyle Larson – 12.1

4. Chris Buescher

4. Chris Buescher

4. Jimmie Johnson – 12.3

5. Kyle Larson

5. Kyle Larson

5. Joey Logano – 12.5

 

 

 

1. Matt Kenseth – 3,783

1. Matt Kenseth – 1024

1. Chase Elliott – 119.0

2. Jimmie Johnson – 3,383

2. Dale Earnhardt Jr. – 973

2. Matt Kenseth – 102.4

3. Dale Earnhardt Jr. – 3,134

3. Jimmie Johnson – 894

3. Kyle Larson – 100.7

4. Kurt Busch – 2,999

4. Kasey Kahne – 878

4. Jimmie Johnson – 99.1

5. Kyle Busch – 2,951

5. Denny Hamlin – 849

5. Joey Logano – 96.9

*Drivers Must be in the top 30 in points to be listed in the chart
*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.


For a look at all the Loop Data for Michigan Click Here to view the Pure Michigan 400 Pre-Race Loop Data Book. Click Here to view MRN’s Season Loop Data page.

Martin Truex Jr.



Season Loop Data Leaders

1. Martin Truex Jr.

1. Martin Truex Jr.

1. Martin Truex Jr. – 7.9

2. Kyle Busch

2. Kyle Busch

2. Kyle Busch – 9.3

3. Kevin Harvick

3. Chase Elliott

3. Kyle Larson – 10.2

4. Kyle Larson

4. Brad Keselowski

4. Kevin Harvick – 10.4

5. Chase Elliott

5. Kyle Larson

5. Denny Hamlin – 11.6

 

 

 

1. Martin Truex Jr. – 5,264

1. Jamie McMurray – 1,502

1. Martin Truex Jr. – 113.9

2. Kyle Larson – 4,870

2. Chase Elliott – 1,387

2. Kyle Busch – 106.3

3. Kyle Busch – 4,713

3. Ryan Blaney – 1,384

3. Kyle Larson – 101.8

4. Kevin Harvick – 4,616

4. Joey Logano – 1,320

4. Kevin Harvick – 101.2

5. Chase Elliott – 4,587

5. Jimmie Johnson – 1,284

5. Brad Keselowski – 96.5

*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during the first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Fastest Early In a Run: *Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating: Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Chase Elliott
Pete Pistone: Kyle Larson
Robbie Mays: Brad Keselowski
Tyler Burnett: Kyle Busch
John Singler: Joey Logano

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Michigan

Chase Elliott has finished second in all three of his Cup Series starts at Michigan. He combined to lead 66 laps at MIS in 2016 and has finished in the top 10 in all five of his starts at 2-mile speedways (Michigan and Auto Club).

Joey Logano is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last nine races at Michigan. He has two wins in that span including the 2016 June race when he led 138 laps. Logano led 24 laps and finished 10th in June for his 10th straight top 10 at 2-mile speedways.

Kyle Larson has won the last two races at Michigan and posted a 1.7 average finish in his last three starts there. He led 96 laps in June on his way to his third straight win at 2-mile speedways.

Brad Keselowski finished 16th in June at Michigan to snap a streak of six finishes of ninth or better there. He posted a 3.5 average finish and combined to lead 24 laps in both races last season. The June finish also broke a streak of nine consecutive top 10s at 2-mile speedways.

Matt Kenseth finished in the top five in both Michigan races in 2015, including a win in the August race. The win marked his last top 10 at a 2-mile speedway. Kenseth, who finished 11th at MIS in June, is one of the hottest drivers as of late, posted the best average finish (5.0) in the last four races on the season.

Martin Truex Jr. started second and led 62 laps en route to a sixth-place finish in June at Michigan. He’s combined to lead 135 laps and has a 5.0 average finish in the two races this season at 2-mile speedways.

Jamie McMurray has finished ninth or better in four of his last five starts at Michigan and has failed to lead a lap in the last six. McMurray’s June finish was his fifth straight top 10 at 2-mile speedways.

Kevin Harvick finished 14th in June to snap a streak of three straight top fives at Michigan. Harvick has finished in the top five in seven of his last 10 starts at 2-mile speedways. He battled back from multiple issues, including a cut tire, to finish 13 at Auto Club in March. This weekend, Harvick will return in the same car (chassis No. 929) that he led 292 laps with at Atlanta and raced at Michigan in June.

Kurt Busch has posted a 14.1 average finish in his seven Michigan starts with Stewart-Haas Racing. He won the 2015 June race, which was shortened by rain. This weekend, Busch will return in the same car (chassis No. 1040) that he last finished 19th with at Kansas Speedway.

Denny Hamlin won the June race in 2010 and 2011. Eighty-one percent of his laps led at Michigan came in his first win. In the last five events, Hamlin has finished in the top 10 in three of them, including a fourth-place finish in June. Hamlin has posted a stellar 3.4 average start in the last five races at 2-mile speedways.

Erik Jones finished 13th in his first Michigan Cup start in June. He comes into his home track with two consecutive top 10s and four in his six races this season.

Ryan Newman scored his last of eight top 10s at Michigan in the 2015 August race. He finished 15th in June.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. finished ninth in June for his seventh top 10 in his last 10 starts at Michigan, including a win in the 2012 June race. This year’s finish is one of four top 10s this season.

Austin Dillon finished 27th in June to raise his average finish to 13.8 in the last four races at Michigan.

Kasey Kahne finished 21st in June for his first finish outside the top 16 in the last eight races at Michigan.



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